‘Bidenomics’ helps Trump make his case in five key states: Poll

Former President Donald Trump appears to be getting a boost in all-important swing states over President Joe Biden, particularly driven by Biden’s handling of the economy.

A new survey showed Trump leading Biden in five of seven pivotal battleground states, including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia.

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A new poll by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult showed Trump defeating Biden by 4 points among voters from the seven battleground states, 47% to 43%. In Georgia, Trump posted a 5-point lead over his increasingly likely 2024 competitor. He was 4 points ahead of the president in Arizona and North Carolina, 2 points up in Wisconsin, and just 1 point higher in Pennsylvania.

The two men appeared to tie in Michigan, which has grown in importance as the United Auto Workers strike poses problems for Biden and as blue-collar workers make their way to the Republican Party. The only state Biden led in was Nevada by 3 points.

More than half of the swing voters polled claimed the economy was doing better under Trump, with 49% adding that they trust Trump more on the economy in the future, compared to 35% who trust Biden more. And among independent swing state voters, who are very likely to decide on a 2024 rematch between the men, Trump boasts a 22-point lead over Biden when it comes to trust in handling the economy.

The poll showing Trump’s advantage, which is outside the margin of error, is significant, as surveys have consistently shown the two in relative dead heats nationally and in key states, often falling within those margins. The new poll follows a handful of others starting to show Trump developing a tangible lead over his likely 2024 opponent.

Since Biden’s launch of the term “Bidenomics” this past summer, it has failed to convince voters the economy is improving and that the president had a hand in it. Some economic indicators have improved in the months following the new slogan’s rollout, but despite this, people report struggling more than they did before the COVID-19 pandemic. Inflation, in part, has driven this, and while the rate has begun to slow, many prices remain higher than pre-inflation.

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Voters don’t appear to be feeling the effects of the macroeconomic improvement, and this is reflected in polls. In a recent survey from CBS News/YouGov, the number of respondents who said they were able to live comfortably dropped nearly 10 points compared to 2019, while the number who said they have “just enough” or “can’t meet expenses” shot up roughly 10 points.

In the same poll, two-thirds rated the economy overall as “fairly” or “very bad.”