The Democratic Party holds a significantly smaller edge over the Republican Party now than it did in 2018 when Democrats flipped the House of Representatives during President Donald Trump’s first term.

Democrats hold just a five-percentage-point lead over Republicans about a month and a half out from the 2026 midterm elections, according to a new NBC News poll that was released on Sunday. Democrats writ large are still more unpopular than Trump himself and the broader GOP despite voters’ belief that Trump’s policies have harmed the economy and pushed up prices.