President Joe Biden is placing the fate of his reelection campaign in the hands of New Hampshire Democrats, a voting bloc he “pissed off” after the national party worked tirelessly to remove the state’s first-in-the-nation primary status.
Though South Carolina is the first Democratic National Committee-sanctioned primary, New Hampshire will continue to hold its Democratic primary on Jan. 23 — but Biden will not be on the ballot, much to the dismay of state Democrats who are angry that the president advocated ending the state’s 100-year reign.
“I love Joe Biden, I think he’s just been a great president,” former state Democratic Party Chairwoman Kathy Sullivan, who is now running a pro-Biden super PAC, said to NBC News. “Having said that, I’m still pissed. But you compartmentalize that. You just put that aside.”
Biden directed the DNC to overhaul the 2024 primary calendar last year and place South Carolina, which he won in 2020, ahead of New Hampshire, which he lost that year. The overhaul was part of a larger goal to find more diverse states to lead off the 2024 presidential primary season.
The fight that followed between state and national Democrats led to the DNC saying it would not allocate delegates to the winner of the unsanctioned Democratic primary — a major blow to the state party, which eventually told the DNC it was engaging in voter suppression by calling the contest “meaningless.”
“Well, it’s safe to say in New Hampshire, the DNC is less popular than the NY Yankees,” New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Raymond Buckley previously said to CNN.
New Hampshire Democrats are still anticipating a large voter turnout, so Biden must now rely on the people he shoved to the side to participate in a write-in campaign for him. He is facing a lose-lose situation, as he is not likely to receive any delegates from the New Hampshire primary since the party will not recognize its results. His performance against Rep. Dean Phillips (D-MN) and Marianne Williamson will also be closely judged, with any weak numbers setting the tone for the rest of his reelection campaign — which is already on shifting sands with donors and supporters.
The New Hampshire primary will ultimately serve as a test for national Democrats as to whether their strategy will play out as anticipated: that Democrats will rally behind Biden no matter what to keep Trump out of the White House.
The write-in campaign, as it has no rallies, ads, or field offices, is being vastly outspent by Phillips, though most surveys show Biden considerably ahead of the Minnesota Democrat. The budget for Biden’s write-in campaign is around $700,000, NBC News reported, which is mainly going toward printing signs explaining the write-in process. To compare, Phillips’s campaign spent $589,000 alone on TV ads during the week between Christmas and New Year’s Day, according to an AdImpact analysis.
Despite the frustration, the state Democratic Party establishment has acknowledged that they must help Biden accomplish what the DNC will not allow him to do for the sake of the general election, where Biden will likely face former President Donald Trump in a 2020 rematch.
“This is about the general election when you come right down to it,” Democratic state Sen. David Watters, a leader of the Biden write-in effort, said. “There’s too much at stake to have a snit or get our noses bent out of shape about the primary.”
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Mostly, Democrats are just hoping that Biden does not embarrass himself, with the state party mostly lodging complaints against the DNC.
“I have no doubt that Joe Biden is committed to this state,” Watters said. “I just think there was a lot of bad advice from the DNC.”