Extreme winter weather causes lowest Iowa caucus turnout since 2000

Former President Donald Trump’s landslide victory in Monday’s Iowa caucuses came despite record-low temperatures and the lowest voter turnout since 2000.

Trump won with 51% of the vote on Monday night, besting Gov. Ron DeSantis’s (R-FL) 21% and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley’s 19%. His lead was so significant that media outlets began calling the race for Trump within 30 minutes of caucus locations opening and before some precincts had finished voting.

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Multiple Trump campaign caucus captains told the Washington Examiner on Monday evening that turnout at their respective precincts exceeded expectations, though said forecasts had already been lowered over the weather warnings and potential voter disinterest given Trump’s commanding lead in the polls.

About 110,000 Republicans voted in Monday’s caucuses, a sharp drop from the 187,000 Iowans who voted in the 2016 contest, which Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) won by more than 3 percentage points. While the 2024 numbers are an improvement from the 87,000 who participated in the 2000 Iowa caucuses, they come in behind the 118,000 in 2008 and the 122,000 in 2012.

Monday marked the coldest caucus day in Iowa’s history, with 20 mph winds causing temperatures to feel like they had plunged to minus-20 degrees Fahrenheit. Snowy conditions also created icy roads that were unsafe to drive on.

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All the candidates spent days urging their supporters to ensure they had a safe way to get to and from their caucus precincts on Monday night as meteorologists began issuing storm warnings.

“The only way we are hurt … is if you stay home,” Trump told supporters last week.

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