Four state parties show Democrats in disarray could be a problem in 2024

Republicans aren’t the only ones struggling to whip their state parties into shape in time for major contests later this year.

Despite the intense focus on the state parties in Michigan and Arizona in recent weeks, a handful of Democratic state Parties are in the throes of their own dysfunction and demoralizing losses.

Here is a look at four state Democratic parties that have had a bumping road between the 2020 and 2024 elections.

Florida

The Florida Democratic Party entered 2021 with a roughly 100,000 registered voter advantage, representation in a statewide office — with Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried — and 11 out of 27 congressional seats in the state. While Democrats had lost the state in the presidential election, it was only by roughly 3.5%.

Going into the 2024 election, the Florida GOP now has a roughly 800,000 registered voter advantage, the Florida Democratic Party has no representation in a statewide office, is shut out by GOP supermajorities in the state legislature, and only has eight out of 28 congressional seats in the state.

The party’s lowest moment in the past four years came with the 2022 election, where nearly all of its statewide candidates lost to their Republican counterparts by just under 20%. The losses up and down the ballot by Democrats left the party demoralized, with Democratic operative Fernand Amandi telling the Washington Post in 2023 that the party was in a bad place.

“The thing about Florida Democrats is we keep learning with every passing year that just when you thought you had hit bottom, you discover that there are new abysses to fall deeper and deeper into,” Amandi told the outlet.

Just ahead of the 2020 presidential election, the Cook Political Report rated the Sunshine State as a “toss up,” but heading into the 2024 election the state has been rated as “likely Republican.”

Pennsylvania

Despite various wins by the Pennsylvania Democratic Party in 2020, 2022, and 2023, concerns have surrounded party leadership, heading into a pivotal election where control of the Senate and the presidency could be decided by the Keystone State.

A Politico report ahead of the 2023 election examined widespread concerns within the party over finances and trust issues, with a former party official telling the outlet, “it’s a f***ing disaster.” A senior Democratic elected official in the state described state party chairman Sharif Street as a “total incompetent, lazy guy who has no clue what he’s doing.”

Democrats would end up picking up wins in the key races in the 2023 state election. Going into 2024, concerns may return as President Joe Biden continues to poll neck-and-neck with former President Donald Trump in the state.

Nevada

Democrats in Nevada saw a changing of the guard in 2021, when the progressive flank of the party took over the state party. Socialists within the party led the party into the 2022 elections.

In the 2022 election, the party successfully defended Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) from a fierce GOP challenge, but then-Gov. Steve Sisolak (D-NV) lost to Republican Joe Lombardo. Sisolak was the only incumbent governor to lose in 2022.

Following the midterm elections, Democrats in the Silver State had a fierce intraparty battle over whether the Democratic socialists would remain in power. Ultimately, the establishment candidates took back control of the party heading into the 2024 election, but the ugly fight could cause problems as Democrats look to win in November.

Minnesota

A fight during a Michigan GOP meeting highlighted tensions hurting the swing state party, but brawls were not limited to Michigan Republicans.

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In May 2023, the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party had to hold an emergency meeting to address a fight that broke out at a local party convention in Minneapolis. The fight broke out during a nominating convention for a Minneapolis City Council race, with two people injured and no candidate endorsed at the meeting.

While Minnesota is unlikely to be contested in the 2024 presidential election, the party chaos shows the road to November has been anything but smooth for various state political parties across the country.

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