The battle for the House majority will come down to a handful of toss-up seats scattered across the country, particularly those that Republicans managed to win two years ago despite President Joe Biden carrying the districts in his presidential race.
There are 19 House districts in which the Republican candidate won in 2022 despite Biden defeating then-President Donald Trump in the 2020 election. Those races became some of the most competitive contests of the 2024 cycle, prompting House Democrats to pour millions of dollars to flip Democratic-leaning seats back in their favor to win the House majority.
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Of the 19 races, only seven have been called as of 11 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday. Republicans have managed to hold on to four of those seats, while Democrats flipped three back into their control.
Here’s a breakdown of the results we know so far and what districts are still in play:
Republicans fend off Democratic challenges
Four Republicans have won reelection in their districts so far, bolstering the House GOP’s chances of holding on to its slim majority.
Reps. Nick LaLota (R-NY) and Mike Lawler (R-NY) survived their reelection fights in deep-blue New York, marking a massive win for Republicans. Those seats were first flipped during the 2022 midterm elections and played a major role in securing the House GOP majority.
Rep. Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) held on to his seat in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District, while Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) secured a fourth term in Pennsylvania.
Biden-won seats flip back to Democrats
Still, Democrats were able to flip a handful of seats back into their column, keeping the margin for control of the chamber close, even as Republicans remain optimistic about their prospects.
Democrats defeated Reps. Marc Molinaro (R-NY) and Brandon Williams (R-NY) in New York, flipping two seats that were won by Republicans during the 2022 midterm elections. Democrats also managed to flip Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District, which was left vacant after Rep. Barry Moore (R-AL) was redistricted into a new seat.
Several outstanding races, but most lean toward GOP
Several races remain uncalled, but Republicans presently have the advantage in most of the outstanding Biden-won districts.
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GOP incumbents who are leading their Democratic challengers as of 11 a.m. Eastern time on Wednesday include Reps. David Schweikert (R-AZ), John Duarte (R-CA), David Valadao (R-CA), Mike Garcia (R-CA), Young Kim (R-CA), Michelle Steel (R-CA), Don Bacon (R-NE), and Jen Kiggans (R-VA).
Democrats are leading in four other races, including the districts held by Reps. Juan Ciscomani (R-AZ), Anthony D’Esposito (R-NY), and Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R-OR), as well as the open seat in Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District.