Don’t say you didn’t see former President Donald Trump’s massive victory in Iowa coming.
Among the dozens of polls done leading up to Trump’s historic 51% win was one that nearly forecast the final outcome.
“The polls were right. They all undercounted [Florida Gov. Ron] DeSantis but certainly did not give his forces reasons to despair. They were spot-on with Trump. Special congratulation to Trafalgar for nailing this one,” Democratic pollster John Zogby said.
In the end, Trump won with 51%, DeSantis with 21.3%, and Nikki Haley at 19.1%.
Trafalgar Group had it: 52% for Trump, 19.3% for DeSantis, and 18.5% for Haley.
“We are very proud of our @trafalgar_group & @InsiderPolling #IACaucus #GOP primary tracking #poll. If you want to know what the big media polls won’t tell you, stick with us,” Trafalgalar’s Robert Cahaly posted.
Zogby, meanwhile, joined other political observers in calling the Republican contest over.
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“Trump won a breathtaking victory in the Iowa caucuses Monday night. His more than 50% share of the vote is a record for a non-incumbent president in Iowa and he won all but one county. Importantly, the entrance polls strongly argue that those who braved the extreme cold to caucus are indeed the Trump Republican Party,” he blogged.
Looking ahead to the Republican Presidential Convention in Wisconsin in summer, Zogby added, “It is very hard to see how the new Trump Party denies its namesake the prize in Milwaukee.”