Trump leads in 2024 rematch as Biden faces tests at home and abroad: Poll

Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in a new survey while the incumbent struggles to deal with crises at home and abroad.

In a new CNBC All-America Economic Survey, Trump bests Biden 46% to 42%, despite losing the presidential election to him in 2020.

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His four-point lead over Biden is outside the measure’s margin of error. This comes at a time when many polls are seeing results between the men that are practically too close to call.

However, CNBC suggested that Trump’s lead of just four points is actually a “bright spot” for Biden, pointing to dwindling approval ratings and climbing disapproval. According to the survey’s Democratic pollster, Hart Research Associates partner Jay Campbell, and the survey’s Republican pollster, Public Opinion Strategies partner Micah Roberts, the former president’s lead over Biden would probably be much larger if Trump wasn’t facing his own scandals, including several indictments in four cases.

The poll showed Biden with a 37% approval rating. “You don’t get sub-40 approval ratings without losing large chunks of your base. And that’s what’s happening here,” Roberts said.

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The survey additionally asked Americans about the recent war between Israel and the Iran-backed terrorist group Hamas. Regarding the conflict, nearly three quarters, 74%, of the public said it is somewhat or very important for the United States to provide military aid to Israel, even more than the 72% who believe it is important to fund the securing of the southern border.

Additionally, public support for Israel over Palestinians is the highest since being gauged after the Gaza war in 2014. Thirty-nine percent said Israelis should be favored, up from 34% in 2014. Previously, more than half of Americans, 53%, believed the U.S. should treat Israelis and Palestinians the same, but that number dropped significantly in the latest survey to 36%. The number of those unsure of who to favor jumped 10 points as well, to 19%.