President Joe Biden is facing tough polling in Michigan, where he trails former President Donald Trump in a theoretical matchup and not even a fractured state Republican Party appears to be enough to save him.
The president had won Michigan by 150,000 votes in the 2020 election, but he now trails Trump in a series of polls. One poll by CNN showed Trump leading Biden in the state by 10 percentage points, and a poll for the Detroit News found Trump leading by 8 points.
The polls also reveal that Biden is losing support among multiple voting blocs that are vital for the president to secure. These include black voters, those with college degrees, and young voters between the ages of 18 and 29.
“The level of concern is growing and it should be,” Adrian Hemond, a Democratic strategist based in Lansing, Michigan, told the Wall Street Journal. “The problem is not policy. The problem is the man.”
Younger voters have been critical of the president when it comes to his stance on the war in Gaza, along with Arab voters. Others have been critical of his handling of the economy, his stance on abortion, and his lack of progress on voting rights and student debt relief.
Despite Biden’s poor numbers, there are certain areas that could help him. For instance, the president visited Detroit during the auto worker union strike last year, earning him important support among labor unions, and older black voters have expressed support for Biden over his leadership in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. The economy also has a chance to improve before the general election in November, which would help quiet the economic criticism Biden faces.
The lack of support for the president comes even as Republican leaders in the state struggle with infighting, including with the party’s ex-Chairwoman Kristina Karamo, who has refused to leave office. The party is also greatly divided between Republicans who favor Trump and more traditional Republicans who oppose him. The division has resulted in poor fundraising, which has caused the party to go broke.